Of Green Slime and Intangible Assets
By Mark W. Sheffert
September 2000
When my sons were younger, they loved to play with Green Slime. Remember the stuff?
It came in a plastic can, and that’s exactly where you as a parent wanted it to remain:
once out of the container, it was nearly impossible to capture enough of it in your hands
to get it off the furniture and back where it belonged. You could see it, you could feel it,
but you just couldn’t get at it.
Valuing your company’s intangible assets is a bit like trying to scoop up Green
Slime. If you find that notion frustrating, you’re not alone. By some estimates, over
twenty million U.S. business owners are scratching their heads over the same thorny
problem. In our 21st century environment, where bricks and mortar and machines are
being rapidly replaced by "fluffier" assets such as ideas, people, client lists and software
programs, attempting to assign a reasonable value to these intangibles is one of the
major challenges facing players in the New Economy.
Experts have been debating the question for more than a few years in the business
press, but I can’t resist commenting on it again here: one of the major problems in
attempting to value a service business, or any company carrying a high percentage of
intangible assets, is the fact that our good old accounting system was created 500 years
ago---just a few years before the phrases "dot com" and "New Economy" were
conceived. The genius we can thank (or blame) for the double-entry bookkeeping
system we still use today was one Luca Pacioli, an Italian---didn’t that culture produce
all the great ideas, as well as all the greatest tenors?!? The dude (a monk-dude, to be
precise) developed a durable, original accounting system that has served the business
world well for centuries. The only problem with the Pacioli methodology is that it relies
on transactions.
And therein lies the rub. A heck of a lot of value in the New Economy is created
in the absence of any ‘accountable’ transaction. And a heck of a lot of value can be
destroyed in the same way. But changes in value---if you adhere to the Pacioli system---
have absolutely no impact on a company’s financial statements.
Think about it: when a company experiences fluctuations in customer satisfaction,
major alliances, technology, brand identity or innovation, does anything change hands?
Is anything bought or sold? Is there any transaction at all that can be expressed via an
accounting entry using the existing method of matching revenues against expenses? Of
course not. So it’s as if the change in the intangible asset never happened, because it
cannot be reflected within the framework of our current accounting system.
Look at the stock market. Which companies’ shares are selling at astronomical
price-to-earnings ratios? ---wait a minute, you can’t even use that measure when there
are no earnings yet! Okay, which stocks are blowing the roof off all the indices?
You guessed it: the companies with more joint ventures, more effective marketing and
manufacturing alliances, a higher level of innovation and cutting-edge technology.
My favorite example is the oft-told story of American Airlines. In late 1996, its parent
company, AMR Corp., sold 18% of its computer reservations system to the public,
keeping the remaining 82%. Three-and-a- half years later, that reservations system
alone represented a full 50% of AMR’s entire value. The other assets---hundreds of
jets, 100,000 employees and landing rights in major airports all over the world---would,
at first glance, appear to command more than their 50% share of AMR’s value. The
difference is that the computer reservations system can be leveraged: there is no limit to
the number of people who can use it, whereas you can fly only so many travelers on a
finite number of jets with a finite number of available crew members.
The problem with hanging your hat on intangibles, however, is exactly that:
they’re not tangible. They can be expensive to develop, as is true in the pharmaceutical
industry, where it costs half a billion to develop and get a new drug approved. They are
expensive to buy, as well, but huge companies are paying astronomical prices for smaller
companies possessing "knowledge assets" that the big companies must have in order to
stay in business.
For years, we have relied on tools, numbers and rules to guide us. Today, we’re
walking the tightrope with no net on the floor of the big top, because no one has
successfully developed a system to provide for the capture of human capital, brand name
recognition, intellectual property and the like. The corporate audit, our guidebook of
the past, no longer offers the traditional seal of financial approval that once allowed us
to sleep at night, secure in the knowledge that the "experts" were protecting us. Rapidly
growing high tech companies are most likely understating their results because they
cannot account for innovation. Older, more traditional companies, on the other hand,
are probably overstating results, with a resulting disconnect with a market that is
supposed to reflect "reality"!
Doesn’t it give you a headache? You and I are probably not smart enough to
improve on what Luca Pacioli created so long ago, but at least somebody out there is
attempting to take a crack at valuing those slippery assets that are at the heart of the
New Economy. A modern-day Luca, whose name happens to be Baruch Lev, an NYU
professor of accounting and finance, has proposed a revolutionary system to measure
what he calls knowledge assets, intellectual earnings and knowledge earnings. I’d use up
another ten pages and wear out my welcome at Ventures were I to attempt to explain it
all here, but the gist of it is that he computes something he calls "normalized earnings,"
taking into account history, but also a consensus of analysts’ forecasts as to the potential
future earnings that knowledge creates. Then, he subtracts from these total normalized
earnings an average return on physical and financial assets, based on the theory that
these tangible assets are substitutable. Stay with me, here: the remainder, after
subtracting the average return from normalized earnings, is what Lev terms "knowledge
earnings," which are the earnings created by the company’s knowledge assets.
Using his innovative formula, Lev has actually computed the knowledge assets for
dozens of big companies, among them Microsoft, Intel, DuPont, Merck and Dell
Computer. Take a guess: which company has the highest level of knowledge assets?
(Hint: it’s not DuPont.) Lev also looks at what he calls "structural capital", using
Dell Computer as an excellent example. There is nothing unique, of course about the
computers Dell produces; what’s "different" is the way in which it markets them. Is it
any surprise, then, that Lev shows Dell’s knowledge capital at a far greater level than
that of the much-larger Wal-Mart?
Well, I could go on and on, but I am within just a few words of my column’s
limit, so I will leave you with this thought: take heart. Lassoing those intangibles and
converting them into reasonable values on paper ain’t easy, but at least somebody out
there is burning the midnight oil trying to provide us with a decent tool with which we
might better navigate the treacherous waters of the New Economy.
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